Economic Charts

All economic charts are at the bottom of the page.

Wednesday, February 9, 2011

FED POMO Purchase

The FED performed another POMO (Permanent Open Market Operation) purchase yesterday of $2.19 billion dollars.  The total since November 3rd 2010 (when the FED announced printing of $600/900 billion dollars by June 2010) to $321.423 and since August 17th 2010 the FED printed $385.883 billion.


OPERATION 1 - RESULTS
Operation Date:02/08/2011
Operation Type:Outright Coupon Purchase
Release Time:10:15 AM
Close Time:11:00 AM
Settlement Date:02/09/2011
Maturity/Call Date Range:08/15/2028 - 11/15/2040
Total Par Amt Accepted (mlns) :$2,190
Total Par Amt Submitted (mlns) :$9,391

Monday, February 7, 2011

FED POMO Purchase

The FED performed another POMO (Permanent Open Market Operation) purchase of $8.359 billion dollars.  The total since November 3rd, 2010 (when the FED announced the printing of $600/900 billion dollars by June 2010) is now $319.233 billion dollars and since August 17th, 2010 $383.693 billion has been printed.


OPERATION 1 - RESULTS
Operation Date:02/07/2011
Operation Type:Outright Coupon Purchase
Release Time:10:15 AM
Close Time:11:00 AM
Settlement Date:02/08/2011
Maturity/Call Date Range:02/15/2018 - 11/15/2020
Total Par Amt Accepted (mlns) :$8,359
Total Par Amt Submitted (mlns) :$23,176

Sunday, February 6, 2011

Weekly King World News Interviews

This week King World News interviews Jim Rickards, Gerald Celente, James Turk and Ben Davies.  Topics cover Russia gold buying, world hunger and inflation, Tunisia, Egypt and the Economy.  Please keep in mind like anything you look at what interests each individual has in gold and silver.

Jim Rickards - Discusses various ideas on getting out of this currency crisis, one that centers around multiple reserve currencies.  This idea wouldn't involve the dollar going to zero.  The other idea are gold back currencies.  Jim talks about events in Davos that effect our monetary system and the fact that Russia is looking to buy 100 tonnes per year and are diversifying away from the dollar by creating their own sovereign wealth fund.  Jim also talks about how food is going up all over the world resulting in food riots.

Gerald Celente - Discusses why the rioting is happening around the world (lack of food) and how all of this is going to result in world wars as they have in the past (per Gerald).  Gerald talks about how we have to get ready for what is to come, physically, mentally and other.  He thinks that alternative energy will be a game changer going forward and need to increase our productive capacity.

James Turk - Discusses long term interest rates, interest rates are going much higher.   He discusses how interest rates are going up even though the FED continues to print money to suppress interest rates.  James talks about how tight the silver market is as it is in backwardation now and silver is leading the way.  He mentions how the silver mine production is fixed for the next few years and will cause it to go up higher.  He discusses the contraction in open interest in silver and that things are looking bullish for metals.  He talks about sovereign issues are going to come to roost here shortly as Japan has been downgraded recently.  They also discuss how many of the dealers have run out of 100oz silver bars.

Ben Davies - Discusses manipulation in the gold and silver market and what is occurring with recent selling and how their is an extreme amount of physical tightness in the market.  Ben talks about possible inaccurate reporting in the SLV and GLD.  He points out that redemption of baskets of shares for physical possession is a sign of a shortage of gold.  Throughout 2010 flows into gold ETF's has been much less than 2009 and this redemption in the GLD is a sign of a need for gold not a desire to dump it.

Weekly M1/M2 Money Supply

In this weeks money supply report we saw an increase in M1 money supply (which includes currency, Travelers checks, demand deposits and other checkable deposits) of 8.6 and a decrease in M2 money supply (which includes M1 plus; retail MMMF's or Money Market Mutual Fund, savings and small time deposits) of -33.2.  This could mean that people started moving money out of their MMMF's and into the stock market, which would be validated by the surge seen for in-flows on Domestic stock funds from the Fund Flow Report or that people are withdrawing more out of their accounts and spending more (or both).


Monthly Food Stamp Report

In November 2010 we saw 394,916 people added to the Foodstamp program (who knows how many are on it now with the recent bout of inflation).  The official count for November 2010 sits at $43,595,794.  Arizona, Iowa, Louisiana, Maine and Utah saw reductions, while the remaining states saw increases.  The following states had increases of over 20,000 people on foodstamps in one month.

StateAdded Number
California
22,003
Florida
42,731
Georgia
21,983
North Carolina
27,697
Ohio
61,660
Texas
32,042

Weekly FDIC Bank Failures

This week we lost 3 more banks, bringing the total to 14 banks so far in 2011.  The following banks failed this week; Community First Bank Chicago in Chicago Illiniois, North Georgia Bank in Watkinsville Georgia and American Trust Bank in Roswell Georgia.  This puts Georgia in the lead with 4 banks failed so far this year.

Saturday, February 5, 2011

David Stockman on Jobs and the Economy

David Stockman points out that how the jobs number does not reflect reality and how we are printing our way into oblivion.  David points out the .5 million jobs that were lost in the past 30 days.   It would seem that their are some funny numbers going on in the jobs numbers these days.

FED POMO Purchase Last 2 Days

The FED performed 2 POMO (Permanent Open Market Operations) purchases in the last 2 days.  On February 3rd in the amount of $8.870 billion and then on February 4th for $7.272 billion.  This brings the total since November 3rd 2010 (when the FED announced the printing of $600/900 billion dollars by June 2010) to $310.874 billion and since August 17th 2010 to $375.334.



OPERATION 1 - RESULTS
Operation Date:02/04/2011
Operation Type:Outright Coupon Purchase
Release Time:10:15 AM
Close Time:11:00 AM
Settlement Date:02/07/2011
Maturity/Call Date Range:08/15/2013 - 01/31/2015
Total Par Amt Accepted (mlns) :$7,272
Total Par Amt Submitted (mlns) :$28,809


OPERATION 2 - RESULTS
Operation Date:02/03/2011
Operation Type:Outright Coupon Purchase
Release Time:10:15 AM
Close Time:11:00 AM
Settlement Date:02/04/2011
Maturity/Call Date Range:08/15/2016 - 01/31/2018
Total Par Amt Accepted (mlns) :$8,870
Total Par Amt Submitted (mlns) :$23,519

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Weekly Fund Flows

The weekly fund flows showed billions flowing into domestic stocks for the 3rd week in a row.  Domestic stocks showed in-flows of $3.248 billion dollars, foreign stocks saw an in-flow of $1.875 billion dollars.  The bond market saw in-flows of $3.509 billion dollars, while municipal bonds saw out-flows of $2.678 billion dollars.

FED POMO Update

The FED performed another POMO (Permanent Open Market Operation) purchase of $2.205 billion dollars.  This brings the total since November 3rd 2010 (when the FED announced the printing of $600/900 billion dollars by June 2011) to $294.732 billion dollars and $359.192 billion by August 17th 2010.


OPERATION 1 - RESULTS
Operation Date:02/02/2011
Operation Type:Outright Coupon Purchase
Release Time:10:15 AM
Close Time:11:00 AM
Settlement Date:02/03/2011
Maturity/Call Date Range:02/15/2021 - 11/15/2027
Total Par Amt Accepted (mlns) :$2,205
Total Par Amt Submitted (mlns) :$14,311

Tuesday, February 1, 2011

FED POMO Purchase

The FED performed another POMO (Permanent Open Market Operation) purchase in the amount of $1.735 billion dollars.  This brings the total since November 3rd 2010 (when the FED announced the printing of $600/900 billion dollars by June 2011) to $292.527 billion dollars and $356.987 billion dollars since August 8th 2010.


OPERATION 1 - RESULTS
Operation Date:02/01/2011
Operation Type:Outright TIPS Purchase
Release Time:10:15 AM
Close Time:11:00 AM
Settlement Date:02/02/2011
Maturity/Call Date Range:04/15/2013 - 02/15/2040
Total Par Amt Accepted (mlns) :$1,735
Total Par Amt Submitted (mlns) :$4,043

Gold and the GLD ETF

I don't normally discuss gold much on this blog, but I ran across an article recently, entitled "Who is Draining GLD?", that I think is worth mentioning as it raises some very important questions in my mind.  The article highlights some interesting data points about the ETF (Exchange Traded Fund) GLD that make you wonder, what was its original intended reason for being formed.  GLD is an ETF that is supposed to be backed by gold, as a matter a fact GLD is one of the larger holders of gold and tracks the price of gold.  This means that if the gold price goes down then GLD goes down as well.  This is not the only contributing factor as the NAV is calculated based on price of gold and the amount of gold held by the trust divided by the number of outstanding shares.  

Having said that, one more thing you should know is that its prospectus says that you can redeem shares of GLD for physical delivery of gold with one caveat, you must have at a minimum 100,000 shares to redeem.  Which means you have to have about $13 million dollars invested to create one basket for redemption.  This leaves a majority of the people out as they don't have $13 million to spend or at least not all in one place.  If you read the report by FOFOA.blogspot.com you'll see graphs that show the NAV price roughly running the same amount, while inventory of gold has been going down considerably in the last few months.  So very wealthy people have been taking physical delivery of gold from the trust, since July 2010 roughly 86 tonnes have been removed with the majority of that in the last 2 months.  

The advantages of having GLD shares is that theoretically you own gold or have exposure to gold without the storage costs that are incurred as the trust pays for that (or the individual share holders as a management cost). What are the advantages of taking physical delivery from GLD vs the futures exchange or buying from a bullion dealer.  Well if you buy gold on the futures exchange you move the price of gold making it more expensive (on-market), if you buy from a bullion dealer you have to pay fees/transaction cost per oz or something like that and getting it all may take more than one dealer for a large amount. 

After reviewing this information several questions popped into my head.  If the average Joe cannot take physical delivery and only the wealthy can, then who was this really set up for.  Also with storage fees and all being paid for by the trust is that just a way for wealthy to store gold and having average Joe pay for the storage costs as he has no way of actually taking physical delivery.  It is actually genius if this is really the case as a wealthy person I eliminate all the downside of owning gold and can take physical delivery of it when I want as much as I want (as long as it exists in the trust) without moving the price of gold or paying additional costs.  As a trading vehicle for average Joe it may make sense and a trader does not stay in very long and normally doesn't take physical delivery (and normally doesn't make a lot as that relies on market timing).  But for those who purchase it for long term safety (in an IRA or 401k or such) you have to wonder how protected they really are.  Now how protected they are really depends on if the trust could or would be drained of all of its gold (probability not very likely), but the question as to what the trusts true purpose still stands.  Was this just a side effect of how the trust was set up or was this created to protect those that can afford it?

FED POMO Purchase

Yesterday the FED performed another POMO (Permanent Open Market Operation) purchase in the amount of $7.72 billion dollars.  This brings the total since November 3rd 2010 (When the FED announced printing $600/900 billion dollars by June 2011) to $290.792 billion dollars and $355.252 billion dollars since August 17th 2010.  It makes you wonder, if we are on such a recovery as we have all been told, why are we still printing so much money.  It was good to see in the fund flows over the past 2 weeks inflows on domestic stocks, if this continues then the FED isn't single handedly holding up the stock market anymore.  It will be interesting to see what happens.


OPERATION 1 - RESULTS
Operation Date:01/31/2011
Operation Type:Outright Coupon Purchase
Release Time:10:15 AM
Close Time:11:00 AM
Settlement Date:02/01/2011
Maturity/Call Date Range:08/15/2013 - 12/31/2014
Total Par Amt Accepted (mlns) :$7,720
Total Par Amt Submitted (mlns) :$37,238

Sunday, January 30, 2011

Weekly King World News Interviews

This week King World News interviews Jim Rickards, Michael Pento and Eric Sprott discuss various aspects of our ecnonomy, gold, Davos and other impacting subjects.  This is great information to listen to if your looking to be more informed and protect yourself.

Jim Rickards - Discusses the comments of the governor of the Bank of England, Mervin King that "households face the the most dramatic squeeze in living standards since the 1920's".  Jim agrees that this is the truth in the market vs the happy talk that is going on by all others.  Mervin says that there is no way out of the debt-crisis other than default, inflation or austerity in the UK and Jim believes this will come to roost in the US as well.  Jim discuses the announcement by Russia to acquire 100 tonnes of gold a year and how the IMF decided to stop selling gold early into their 400 tonne sales (after selling 200 tonnes).  Jim also points out that Iceland had unpayable debts, decided not to pay and they are doing quite well today.

Michael Pento - Discusses the fact that $100 trillion dollars of new debt over 10 years needs to be generated to get us back on track and that we may be forced back on a gold standard again.  He also mentions that President Obama state of the Union speech says that he will slash government debt $400 billion dollars over 10 years, the CBO says the annual deficit for 2011 will be $1.48 trillion dollars.  With this it brings the deficit over $1 trillion dollars just for 1 year.  Michael points out the only way forward will be to restructure the debt which will impact holders of that debt.  Michael points out that owning commodities (metals, agriculture and such), but don't keep closing your eyes and buying debt/bonds.

Eric Sprott - Discusses the food rioting due to rising prices globally.  He also discusses the turmoil in Egypt, how the stock market plummeted 20% and the Egyptian people are going to be pulling their money out of the banks which could be the start of a breakdown in a system.  Eric says that even though weather has been a factor, that the printing of money has been the real driver globally negatively impacting the have-nots.  The silver acquisition that he did of 50 million ounces took 10 weeks to get it from third parties which is a very long time and the silver market is very tight right now on physical delivery.  Eric discusses gold and the Bank of Englands comments as well.

Saturday, January 29, 2011

World Economic Forum Worlds Growing Demand for Credit

Here is the document presented at Davos by the World Economic Forum discussing the worlds growing demand for credit. It discusses the need for another $100 trillion in debt be generated to support global growth.  Jim Rickards discusses this on King World News interview here.
More Credit with Fewer Crises 2011